Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.003820 0.004178 0.004563 0.005006 0.005504 0.006049 0.006692
2025-11-16 0.003183 0.003678 0.004247 0.004952 0.005811 0.006831 0.008148
2025-11-23 0.002782 0.003331 0.003991 0.004850 0.005954 0.007345 0.009260
2025-11-30 0.002561 0.003155 0.003896 0.004902 0.006255 0.008048 0.010664
2025-12-07 0.002428 0.003067 0.003891 0.005051 0.006678 0.008938 0.012422
2025-12-14 0.002241 0.002888 0.003743 0.004984 0.006785 0.009387 0.013587
2025-12-21 0.002070 0.002714 0.003584 0.004878 0.006815 0.009713 0.014594
2025-12-28 0.001941 0.002584 0.003472 0.004826 0.006912 0.010139 0.015805
2026-01-04 0.001852 0.002505 0.003424 0.004858 0.007133 0.010775 0.017448
2026-01-11 0.001746 0.002392 0.003318 0.004793 0.007191 0.011145 0.018670
2026-01-18 0.001658 0.002299 0.003233 0.004751 0.007278 0.011567 0.020042
2026-01-25 0.001574 0.002207 0.003143 0.004691 0.007327 0.011924 0.021336
2026-02-01 0.001509 0.002142 0.003096 0.004706 0.007518 0.012582 0.023399
2026-02-08 0.001433 0.002058 0.003013 0.004656 0.007594 0.013045 0.025160
2026-02-15 0.001354 0.001964 0.002909 0.004561 0.007578 0.013325 0.026571
2026-02-22 0.001312 0.001925 0.002890 0.004609 0.007828 0.014157 0.029403
2026-03-01 0.001291 0.001918 0.002921 0.004747 0.008261 0.015420 0.033553
2026-03-08 0.001233 0.001849 0.002844 0.004685 0.008297 0.015847 0.035691
2026-03-15 0.001174 0.001773 0.002752 0.004587 0.008251 0.016088 0.037389
2026-03-22 0.001127 0.001716 0.002689 0.004540 0.008302 0.016553 0.039815
2026-03-29 0.001096 0.001684 0.002669 0.004569 0.008516 0.017424 0.043633
2026-04-05 0.001053 0.001630 0.002604 0.004509 0.008533 0.017825 0.046139
2026-04-12 0.001016 0.001583 0.002552 0.004470 0.008591 0.018335 0.049130